UEFA Europa League Value Bets - 13/03/25
- JN Value Betting
- Mar 12
- 5 min read
BEST BETS:
EINTRACHT FRANKFURT VS AJAX:
KENNETH TAYLOR - TO HAVE 1+ SHOT ON TARGET - 13/10 (BETWAY) - 1PT
MANCHESTER UNITED VS REAL SOCIEDAD:
PATRICK DORGU - TO COMMIT 2+ FOULS - 15/8 (BETFAIR) - 1PT
PATRICK DORGU - TO COMMIT 3+ FOULS - 6/1 (BETFAIR) - 0.5PTS
PATRICK DORGU - TO BE CARDED - 6/1 (BET365) - 0.5PTS
RANGERS VS FENERBAHCE:
YOUSSEF EN-NESYRI - TO SCORE ANYTIME - 9/5 (BETWAY) - 1PT
YOUSSEF EN-NESYRI - TO SCORE A HEADER - 7/1 (BET365) - 0.25PTS
FENERBAHCE - TO SCORE 2+ GOALS - 21/20 (CORAL) - 1PT
FENERBAHCE - TO SCORE 3+ GOALS - 10/3 (BETFRED) - 0.5PTS
TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR VS AZ ALKMAAR:
TROY PARROTT - TO HAVE 1+ SHOT ON TARGET - 17/20 (BETWAY) - 1PT
It was a mixed story for Britain's three representatives in the Europa League last Thursday, with Rangers recording a memorable 3-1 victory away in Turkey against Jose Mourinho's Fenerbahce, while Man United drew in Spain against Real Sociedad. However, Tottenham have to turnaround a 1-0 deficit when AZ visit North London on Thursday evening. Seven of the eight Last 16 ties look to hang in the balance, with Bodo/Glimt looking to be the only side that could comfortably progress into the Quarter-Finals, with the Norwegian champions holding a commanding 3-0 lead from the first leg.
EINTRACHT FRANKFURT VS AJAX
Despite suffering three straight Bundesliga defeats, Eintracht Frankfurt managed to record a 2-1 success in the Netherlands last week, and will hope to make the last eight of this competition for the seventh time in their history, and the first since winning it in 2021/22. Ajax will fancy their chances of getting back into this one, with the form of the hosts. They've won their last four on the road, and a win here will give them every chance of progressing.
I am keen to stick to a winning selection from last week, with Kenneth Taylor to register a shot on target. This selection has landed in fourteen of Taylor's last sixteen starts, including when successful in the first leg last week. Frankfurt are facing an average of 5.27 shots on target per game this season, and Taylor is a prime candidate in the Ajax ranks to have at least one, especially with the Dutch side chasing the game.
MANCHESTER UNITED VS REAL SOCIEDAD
It's all or nothing in the Europa League for Manchester United, with their domestic season all but over since exiting the FA Cup earlier this month. They'll fancy their chances of progressing against a Sociedad side who have lost six of their last eight matches on the road, with their only successes coming in the Copa del Rey at Ponferradina and away in Denmark at Midtjylland in the previous round. That being said, Manchester United have been able to make simple situations difficult in recent seasons, and they'll still need to be at their best to make the last eight.
Patrick Dorgu was the only signing at Old Trafford in January, and he has enjoyed a mixed start thus far, being dragged off at half-time on his debut, before being sent-off against Ipswich last month. He has shown glimpses of suiting the Ruben Amorim system, and despite the turbulent start to his career at Man United, he looks set to be an asset for them. He'll be set for a tough evening, likely being up against Takefusa Kubo, who is a tricky customer. Kubo is averaging 2.05 fouls won per 90 this season, and I am backing Dorgu to get stuck in and commit fouls. He has committed an average of 2.01 fouls per 90 since signing in January, and this includes committing two in the first leg in Spain last week. The 6/1 on offer for him to be carded is also generous.
RANGERS VS FENERBAHCE
Rangers enjoyed a dream trip to Turkey, beating Jose Mourinho's Fenerbahce comprehensively. Despite their 3-1 victory, there is still work to be done when they welcome them to Ibrox, especially given Mourinho's European pedigree. It's been a tough season for Rangers domestically, with them missing out on all their chances of silverware. It could be another memorable European night at Ibrox, should they progress into the last eight. Fenerbahce entered the first leg on an eighteen game unbeaten run, and will be shocked to have been turned over so easily.
Despite the manner of Rangers' victory in Turkey last week, I can see them struggling to keep Fenerbahce at bay here. I have enjoyed success in back Youssef En-Nesyri this season, and I will turn to the Moroccan striker, once again. En-Nesyri has scored 26 goals in 2,447 minutes this campaign - averaging a goal every 94 minutes. He has 14 goals in his last 13 appearances, and with eleven of his goals this season coming with his head, I am happy to get stuck in on the 7/1 on offer for him to score with his head.
I quite fancy the chances of Fenerbahce getting back into this one, but the 6/1 for them To Qualify seems slim, especially with them being away from home. I quite like the 21/20 on offer for them to score at least two goals, and the 10/3 on offer for them to get three. This will allow the possibility of Rangers scoring and all but killing the tie. Fenerbahce have scored 2+ goals in 30 of their 43 matches this season, and have managed to score at least three in 18 of those matches. Against a Rangers side who have endured some questionable form in recent weeks, I give these selections a good chance of landing.
TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR VS AZ ALKMAAR
Much like Man United, the Europa League is the only hope of any silverware for Tottenham, and they'll have to overturn a 1-0 deficit from the first leg in the Netherlands last week. You have to feel that an exit in this competition could spell the beginning of the end for Ange Postecoglu at Tottenham, so he'll be hoping his side are capable of turning this around. The sides met in the League Phase, with Spurs running out 1-0 winners, a result that wouldn't guarantee them a place in the next round.
Returning to Tottenham for the second time this season will be Troy Parrott. He certainly has the possibility of hurting his old side here. Parrott has scored 17 goals this season for AZ, and against a Tottenham side who have struggled defensively this season, he will fancy his chances of making them pay. I am happy to just take the safer option of Parrott to register a shot on target, with the likelihood that AZ will spend a large amount of the game attempting to counter attack. This selection has landed in fifteen of his last seventeen starts, and for a striker to be priced at 17/20 for a shot on target, it seems generous.
